Monday, August 28, 2017

8/28/2017 Smoke model predictions for air quality in Washington

The BlueSky smoke model is useful for visualizing where smoke from wildfires will travel and how intense concentrations on the ground will be. Predictions for today (Monday) at 5pm are shown in the first image below. Smoke from the Jolly Creek fire is likely to impact the Cle Elum area most significantly but diffuse smoke is also present throughout the Wenatchee, Ellensburg and Yakima areas. Smoke from Diamond Creek, Bridge Creek, and Noisy Creek fires is traveling mostly to the north.

Smoke prediction for 5pm Monday (
 The prediction for 6am Tuesday morning is shown below. Smoke is more concentrated in the low valleys and once again, Cle Elum is likely impacted, and to a somewhat lesser degree, Ellensburg, Leavenworth, and Wenatchee.
Smoke prediction for 6am Tuesday 8/29
By noon tomorrow (Tuesday) smoke looks to become a bit more widespread but not too terribly thick. Smoke is drifting to the north and north east.
Smoke prediction for noon Tuesday 8/29 
Smoke conditions at 5pm Tuesday (below) look similar to 5pm today although there is more smoke accumulating throughout the Yakima Valley.
Smoke prediction for 6pm Tuesday 8/29
And the final image of the modeling run shows smoke heading more directly to the east with possible additional impacts farther away in Moses Lake, Vantage, and Richland.
Smoke prediction for midnight Tuesday 8/29

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