Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Predictions for the 2016 Fire Season

Every year, the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) in Boise, ID, tracks large scale weather patterns and predicts whether the coming fire season will be below normal, normal, or above normal across the U.S.  http://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf
(These are only predictions though, and the actual severity of the fire season will depend on factors that are less predictable months in advance such as lightning occurrence and winds.)
7 day significant fire potential for Pacific NW
Fire Potential: Large fire potential remains low for the moment but will rise over the weekend and next week as the weather pattern undergoes a major shift. Consistently warmer and drier weather will boost fire danger for the next week or ten days across just about the entire geographic area. As the drying trend intensifies, we will have to watch for the next outbreak of lightning or strong, dry winds. http://gacc.nifc.gov/nwcc/content/products/fwx/guidance/DL.pdf