Saturday, August 16, 2014

This afternoon's "No Smoke" Satellite image!


Twisp vs Winthrop


On this gorgeous, clear day with no smoke, let's take a look at the differences between two air quality monitors located less than 9 miles apart in the same Methow Valley.  The blue graphs indicate 1-hr average concentrations of PM2.5 while the red data points are 24-hr averages. Note that while the 24-hr values trended rather similar for the two sites (expected as they are spatially close) the peak 1-hr values differed greatly!




Why would this be? As you can see in the graphic below (orange ovals depict drainage valleys below the fires), smoke from the Upper Falls Creek Fire drains directly into Winthrop prior to reaching Twisp. So when that fire has been active, Winthrop will experience higher smoke concentrations.

On the other hand, the Little Bridge Creek Fire drains directly into Twisp, bypassing Winthop almost completely! So if one fire is more active than the other, the two communities, while close, may experience greatly different air quality.  And that is the what's been going on...  Note that today, both areas are fine places to be!


Air Quality Outlook for Saturday, August 16, 2016

Smoke Synopsis:
Cool moist weather continued to moderate fire activity with mostly smoldering occurring in interior portions of the fires. Warmer and drier conditions this weekend may increase fire activity and produce some noticeable smoke.  Winds will switch around to a more pattern, generally from the west and valley drainages should see a return to their typical upslope in the day and downslope at night pattern.

Information on new fire starts from the recent lightning should become apparent over the next few days.  Look for late night and early morning smoke in valleys below any active burn areas.

Air Quality Outlook:
Site
Saturday
August 16, 2014

Sunday
August 17, 2014

Monday
August 18, 2014

Comments
Colville
Good
Good
Moderate

Wellpinit
Good
Good
Moderate

Keller
Moderate
USG
USG

Omak
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate

Malott
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Brewster
Good
Good
Moderate

Winthrop
Good
Good
Moderate

Twisp
Good
Moderate
USG

Chelan
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Entiat
Good
Moderate
USG

Plain
Good
Good
Good

Leavenworth
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Wenatchee
Good
Good
Moderate

Ellensburg
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Yakima
Good
Good
Good

NOTE – in table above “USG” stands for “Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups”
For detailed information about the color coded air quality categories, please see:
Warning: These data have been obtained from automated instruments and have not been subjected to a quality assurance review to determine their accuracy. They are presented for public awareness and should not be considered final. Conditions such as power outages and equipment malfunctions can produce invalid data.

1 Since wildfires often occur in remote areas, air monitoring equipment may not be available. The following table provides a quick method to assess air quality in your area. For more detailed information you can go to the following site: http://www.deq.state.or.us/aq/burning/wildfires/visibility.htm
Using the 5-3-1 Visibility Index
Distance you can see*
Your are:

You have:
·  An adult
·  A teenager
·  An older child
·  Age 65 and over
·  Pregnant
·  A young child
OR
·  Asthma
·  Respiratory illness
·  Lung or heart disease
5 miles
check visibility
minimize outdoor activity
3 miles
minimize outdoor activity
stay inside
1 miles
stay inside
stay inside
No matter how far you can see, if you feel like you are having health effects from smoke exposure, take extra care to stay inside or get to an area with better air quality.  You should also see your doctor or other health professional as needed.
* less reliable under high humidity conditions

Friday, August 15, 2014

Smoke / Air Quality Summary for Friday, August 15, 2014


Smoke Synopsis:
Once again, most fire areas received between one quarter and one inch of rain yesterday.  This has further reduced fire activity and will continue to allow firefighters to be more aggressive today to strengthen containment lines, although debris flows across roads and slippery slopes are causing safety problems of their own.  High humidity will cause more smoldering, and although not a significant amount of smoke is being generated, it will remain relatively close to the ground and in the valleys.  Winds will continue to be quite light.

Information on new fire starts from the recent lightning may not appear for a few days. Any new fires will affect the smoke forecast.  Smoke will accumulate, flush out and accumulate again in several areas through Saturday, especially morning around Ellensburg, the Methow Valley, and the Hwy 21 corridor near Keller. Smoke from fires outside the state may occasionally impact cities close to state borders to varying extents, especially Saturday and Sunday.

Air Quality Outlook:
Site
Friday
August 15, 2014
Saturday
August 16, 2014

Sunday
August 17, 2014

Comments
Colville
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Wellpinit
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Keller
Unhealthy
Unhealthy
USG
Midnight to 8 am are worst times – pm good
Omak
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate

Malott
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Brewster
Good
Good
Moderate

Winthrop
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Twisp
Moderate
Moderate
USG

Chelan
Good
Good
Moderate

Entiat
Good
Moderate
USG

Plain
Good
Good
Good

Leavenworth
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Wenatchee
Good
Moderate
Moderate

Ellensburg
USG
USG
USG

Yakima
Good
Good
Good

NOTE – in table above “USG” stands for “Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups”
For detailed information about the color coded air quality categories, please see:
Warning: These data have been obtained from automated instruments and have not been subjected to a quality assurance review to determine their accuracy. They are presented for public awareness and should not be considered final. Conditions such as power outages and equipment malfunctions can produce invalid data.

1 Since wildfires often occur in remote areas, air monitoring equipment may not be available. The following table provides a quick method to assess air quality in your area. For more detailed information you can go to the following site: http://www.deq.state.or.us/aq/burning/wildfires/visibility.htm
Using the 5-3-1 Visibility Index
Distance you can see*
Your are:

You have:
·  An adult
·  A teenager
·  An older child
·  Age 65 and over
·  Pregnant
·  A young child
OR
·  Asthma
·  Respiratory illness
·  Lung or heart disease
5 miles
check visibility
minimize outdoor activity
3 miles
minimize outdoor activity
stay inside
1 miles
stay inside
stay inside
No matter how far you can see, if you feel like you are having health effects from smoke exposure, take extra care to stay inside or get to an area with better air quality.  You should also see your doctor or other health professional as needed.
* less reliable under high humidity conditions